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凌晨利好突袭！霍尔木兹海峡大消息！特朗普释放重磅信号_我的网站

一 |     

Rescue personnel use boats to evacuate residents to safety after flooding hit a town in Ningming county, South China's Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, on August 23, 2026, following the impact of a typhoon. Photo: VCG
China's National Commission for Disaster Prevention, Reduction and Relief and the Ministry of Emergency Management activated a Level-IV national disaster relief emergency response for South China's Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region on Monday after Typhoon Narra, the 19th typhoon of this year, caused severe flooding in the region that led to passenger train suspensions. A working group was sent to the affected areas to assess damage and assist with evacuations, resettlement and basic relief efforts, China Central Television (CCTV) reported on Monday. 
The China Meteorological Administration raised its emergency response for major weather disasters, including typhoons, torrential rain and severe convective weather, to Level III at 11:50 am on Monday. 
China's National Meteorological Center (NMC) continued to issue a yellow alert for rainstorm and a blue alert for typhoon at 6 am on Monday, forecasting torrential rainfall in parts of coastal regions as well as Liaoning and Heilongjiang provinces. The rainfall on Taiwan Island is forecast to reach 250 to 300 millimeters between Monday morning and Tuesday morning, CCTV reported. 
Typhoon Narra was located over the Beibu Gulf about 185 kilometers west-southwest of Beihai, Guangxi, at 5 am on Monday, with maximum winds of 23 meters per second near its center. 
It is expected to linger over the Beibu Gulf and strengthen to severe tropical storm, with winds of up to 25 to 28 meters per second. From Monday night, it will turn northward and move at 5 to 10 kilometers per hour toward the coast from Guangxi to western Leizhou Peninsula in South China's Guangdong Province.
Meanwhile, Typhoon Atsani, the year's 21st typhoon, formed Monday morning. Its center was located about 1,970 kilometers east-southeast of Taipei of the Taiwan Island at 8 am, and is expected to move north-northeast at 15 to 20 kilometers per hour, with little change in its strength, CCTV reported. 
Rescue personnel use boats to evacuate residents to safety after flooding hit a county in Fangchenggang city, South China’s Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, on August 23, 2026, following the impact of a typhoon. Photo: VCG
Due to the impact of Typhoon Narra, Ningming county in Guangxi is forecast to see moderate to heavy rain and locally torrential rain from Wednesday to Thursday. In response to typhoon, heavy rainfall and flood warnings, multiple passenger train services have been suspended from Sunday to Thursday, according to CCTV. 
According to Zhang Ling, a chief weather forecaster at the NMC, Typhoon Narra remains stalled over the Beibu Gulf as several surrounding weather systems compete to steer the storm, with none dominant. Meanwhile, warm waters and abundant monsoon moisture are helping Typhoon Narra persist, bringing prolonged rain and strong winds to southern China's coast, the Beibu Gulf and the northern South China Sea. 
Rescue personnel use boats to evacuate residents to safety after flooding hit a county in Fangchenggang city, South China’s Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, on August 23, 2026, following the impact of a typhoon. Photo: VCG
On Saturday, Fangchenggang in Guangxi recorded a maximum accumulated rainfall of 404.9 millimeters. As more rain is expected in Guangxi and other areas, attention should be paid to the cumulative effects of prolonged rainfall, with southern Guangxi facing heightened risks from heavy cumulative rainfall and intense short-duration downpours, Zhang told the Global Times on Monday. 
According to Ma Jun, director of the Institute of Public and Environmental Affairs, 21 typhoons have formed over the western North Pacific and South China Sea this year, nine more than the historical average for the same period. 
The surge in activity is closely related to the current super El Nino conditions. During an El Nino event, hurricane activity in the Atlantic tends to be suppressed, resulting in fewer storms, while typhoon activity in the western Pacific tends to increase. The number of typhoons formed so far this year is consistent with the typical pattern of typhoon activity during an El Nino year, Ma told the Global Times on Monday. 
。    　　美伊局势牵动全球能源市场神经。　　受美伊谈判传来的最新消息影响，国际油价大幅跳水，WTI原油期货、布伦特原油期货价格一度大跌超5%。隔夜美股三大指数全线拉升，美股半导体、光通信、存储概念股集体大涨，费城半导体指数收涨1.44%。

二 | 　　据伊朗方面当地时间25日消息，一名接近伊朗谈判团队的消息人士表示，伊方希望通过巴基斯坦向美方明确转达有关霍尔木兹海峡的立场和谈判条件。

三 | 另外，美国总统特朗普表示，霍尔木兹海峡“国际水域”内的所有水雷均已被清除或引爆。美国国务卿鲁比奥据悉于近日告知多位外国对口官员，“目前”预计美国不会对伊朗发起新的打击，美国对伊朗从打击转向制裁。　　特朗普释放重磅信号　　今日（北京时间8月26日）凌晨，国际油价重挫，WTI原油期货、布伦特原油期货价格一度大跌超5%，截至收盘，10月交割的布伦特原油期货价格大跌3.9%，结算价报88.58美元/桶；10月交割的WTI原油期货价格跌3.1%，报82.36美元/桶。　　在今日亚太盘初，WTI原油期货价格再度走低，截至6:50，跌幅达1.68%，报80.98美元/桶。　　据新华社消息，美国总统特朗普25日称，霍尔木兹海峡“国际水域”内的所有水雷均已被清除或引爆，美方对伊朗布设水雷行为实行“零容忍”政策，任何船只若布设新水雷，将立即被摧毁。　　特朗普当天在社交媒体上发文写道：“通过太空军，我们正在监视海峡的每一寸区域，正如我们也在监视镐山以及已被摧毁的另外三处核设施一样。（美国）对布设水雷行为实行零容忍政策，该政策已全面生效并执行。”　　特朗普4月在社交媒体上称，他已向美国海军下令，一旦发现任何船只在霍尔木兹海峡布设水雷，可开火将其击沉。特朗普还称，美方扫雷舰艇正在“清理”霍尔木兹海峡。　　另据央视新闻，当地时间25日，阿曼外交大臣巴德尔在访问伊朗时表示，阿曼和伊朗有望很快宣布关于霍尔木兹海峡临时航道以及恢复海峡安全通航的具体安排。　　巴德尔在社交媒体发文称，他当天在德黑兰与伊朗外交部长阿拉格齐进行了“建设性对话”。他表示，有关霍尔木兹海峡未来管理以及永久性解决方案的讨论，将根据《伊斯兰堡谅解备忘录》第五条在后续阶段继续推进。　　巴德尔还表示，阿曼与伊朗将与地区伙伴展开讨论，以促进和平与合作，维护地区稳定和航行自由。　　当天早些时候，伊朗与阿曼发表联合声明，拟在霍尔木兹海峡建立一条双方共同商定的安全海上通道。　　据伊朗方面当地时间25日消息，一名接近伊朗谈判团队的消息人士表示，伊方希望通过巴基斯坦向美方明确转达有关霍尔木兹海峡的立场和谈判条件。

四 | 　　这名消息人士说，伊朗方面24日同到访的巴陆军参谋长穆尼尔会晤时，已向巴方明确阐述有关立场。伊方提出的条件包括美国遵守《伊斯兰堡谅解备忘录》并履行相关条款，其中第五条涉及有关伊朗对霍尔木兹海峡管理安排的内容。　　消息人士表示，巴方正寻求将上述条件转达给美国。

五 | 　　美股三大指数全线收涨　　在国际油价、美债收益率双双回落的背景下，隔夜美股市场全线走强，截至收盘，纳指涨0.66%，标普500指数涨0.32%，道指涨0.3%。　　大型科技股涨跌不一，英伟达、SpaceX涨超2%，Meta涨近2%，微软涨0.9%，特斯拉涨0.37%；苹果、谷歌、亚马逊小幅收跌。　　美股光通信、存储板块多数上涨，Lumentum大涨超6%，Applied Optoelectronics涨超5%，迈威尔科技、Coherent涨超4%；希捷科技、西部数据涨超3%，SK海力士、美光科技涨超2%。

六 | 　　对于AI生态的长期走势，高盛对冲基金业务主管Tony Pasquariello指出，半导体与软件板块之间的仓位分化近期有所收窄，但这一结构性差距预计将持续存在，且可能伴随明显的双向波动。　　美国银行策略主管Joe Quinlan表示：“市场面临诸多拉锯力量——债市、地缘政治、国际油价。不过，我们对未来12至18个月美国经济的前景总体相当乐观，因此对市场同样持建设性看法。”　　CIBC私人财富集团高级能源交易员Rebecca Babin指出，美国对伊朗制裁力度弱于市场此前担忧的水平，外交轨道看起来正在获得动能。目前，更多的外交行动、更少的军事升级迹象以及流量改善，正在逐步消除原油中的部分地缘政治溢价。　　美股市场将于周三迎来两大关键事件：美联储最青睐的通胀指标核心PCE数据将于美股开盘前公布，英伟达财报则将于收盘后揭晓。　　华尔街分析师预计英伟达上一季度营收同比近乎翻倍，至约920亿美元——这一数字超过其任何竞争对手的全年营收。　　Siebert Financial首席投资官Mark Malek表示，市场普遍预期英伟达财报将带来好消息，“但好消息本身已不再足够——任何失误都可能构成重大挑战”。（文章来源：券商中国）。

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